72nd Annual Golden Globe Award Predictions

The 72nd Golden Globe Awards air tonight, and like many people, I am really very excited for the first major televised awards show of the season. Here are my predictions for the main film categories, and who could possibly win, and the dark horse who could grab a win out of nowhere.

OUTSTANDING MOTION PICTURE: DRAMA:
Winner: Boyhood
Spoiler: Selma
Dark Horse: The Imitation Game

For months now, Boyhood has been considered the frontrunner for all the Best Picture prizes possible. I personally think it is a good film, but the sweep it has been having has been a little too excessive. The race here is quite an important one, because it will finally allow us to see who actually has the support to go all the way to a Best Picture win next months. Boyhood has been the critical favorite, and could easily win. Yet Selma has the important historical factor to it, and The Imitation Game is a typical Best Picture winner in its prestigious subject matter. I think this will be an easy win for Boyhood, but the other two could also win. Yet with something as undeniably notable as Boyhood, it will be difficult for it not to win.

OUTSTANDING MOTION PICTURE: COMEDY OR MUSICAL:
Winner: Birdman
Spoiler: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Dark Horse: Into the Woods

This will be such an easy win for Birdman, because it is both one of the most critically acclaimed films of the year, but also reaped the most nominations at the Golden Globes. However, it does face some competition from The Grand Budapest Hotel, which is indeed the most loved film of the year – a large majority of people adore it, and there is clearly a huge resurgence of passion for it lately. I am not entirely convinced it can win, but it could.

OUTSTANDING ACTOR: MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA:
Winner: Eddie Redmayne (The Theory of Everything)
Spoiler: Benedict Cumberbatch (The Imitation Game)
Dark Horse: Jake Gyllenhaal (Nightcrawler)

Eddie Redmayne is a huge contender for the win. For once, with Michael Keaton not in the same category, Redmayne can finally win his very first major award this awards season. However, I do feel like this will be the place where someone else is awarded. Benedict Cumberbatch is an acting sensation and is incredibly popular, and I could definitely see him winning here. Jake Gyllenhaal has been performing very well when it comes to nominations this season, and I could see him pulling off the upset of the night. In the end, I think Redmayne has got this, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see a huge upset here.

OUTSTANDING ACTRESS: MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA:
Winner: Julianne Moore (Still Alice)
Spoiler: Jennifer Aniston (Cake)
Dark Horse: Rosamund Pike (Gone Girl)

I see this as a relatively safe win for Julianne Moore, who I think is going to ride her way to her overdue Academy Award win. I wouldn’t overthink this category too much, because Julianne Moore is very likable and she has a great role, but if we do see an upset, it will probably be from any of the nominees except Felicity Jones. But I think Moore will get this win easily.

OUTSTANDING ACTOR: MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY:
Winner: Michael Keaton (Birdman)
Spoiler: Nope…
Dark Horse: No…

All the nominees in this category are great, but let’s face it, four of them don’t even need to show up. Michael Keaton is the Academy Award frontrunner, and I see absolutely no reason why his amazing performance in Birdman won’t win here. If there is by some microscopic chance of an upset, it will probably be at the hands of Ralph Fiennes, who is in a very strong film himself. But the trophy should be engraved with Michael Keaton’s name (even if he doesn’t win, whoever does win will have to live with the fact that they took Michael Keaton’s award away from him)

OUTSTANDING ACTRESS: MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY:
Winner: Amy Adams (Big Eyes)
Spoiler: Emily Blunt (Into the Woods)
Dark Horse: Julianne Moore (Maps to the Stars)

Such a weak race this one. It is so weak, Amy Adams is probably going to win this award for the second consecutive time for an average performance. Emily Blunt is the other frontrunner for this award, and she wouldn’t be undeserving. I am actually hoping Julianne Moore could win this, but seeming as she is going to win the Drama Award, it lessens her chances. Still, she could win both and it would be glorious.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTOR
Winner: J.K. Simmons (Whiplash)
Spoiler: Edward Norton (Birdman)
Dark Horse: Ethan Hawke (Boyhood)

The supporting categories this year are pretty safe. I see no reason why J.K. Simmons can’t continue his amazing awards sweep with a win here. However, Edward Norton was excellent in Birdman, and if there is a surprise, it could be Norton winning. If the voters are truly gaga over Boyhood, they could give Ethan Hawke the win, but I doubt it. It is Simmons’ to lose, with Norton being a viable alternative.

OUTSTANDING SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Winner: Patricia Arquette (Boyhood)
Spoiler: Meryl Streep (Into the Woods)
Dark Horse: Emma Stone (Birdman)

Patricia Arquette has been sweeping the floor with her competition for the entire season now, so I don’t see her stopping now. Except that the Golden Globe voters could show their love for Meryl Streep once again by giving her a win here. It is a typically showy, meaty performance Streep is known for, and they could give her the win. But I think this is going to Arquette, with Emma Stone also possibly being a contender for the win.

BEST SCREENPLAY
Winner: The Grand Budapest Hotel
Spoiler: Birdman
Dark Horse: Boyhood

The Grand Budapest Hotel just feels like the type of film that would have enough passion behind it for voters to siphon all their love for the film into giving it a Screenplay win. With Keaton and Birdman set to win the Comedy categories, and Anderson being an underdog for the Best Director win, this seems to be the only place to award the film, and that’s perfectly fine, because the screenplay was brilliant, and it would be completely deserving.

BEST DIRECTOR
Winner: Richard Linklater (Boyhood)
Spoiler: Alejandro González Iñárritu (Birdman)
Dark Horse: Ava DuVernay (Selma)

I think Boyhood will be the big winner of the night with possibly four wins, including here for its veteran director Richard Linklater. It will be partially an award for the film’s excellence, and partially for the fact that the man stood in there for twelve years making the film. I think this award is going to Linklater, although I do think Alejandro González Iñárritu created the most brilliant and complex directorial achievement of the year. It is between those men for sure. Ava DuVernay could pull off a shocking upset, but that only depends on if Selma wins the big prize, and I am doubtful of that.

So there we have it – Birdman and Boyhood are likely to be the big winners of the night, winning a few awards each. However, we have some really close races here, and hopefully we can get some pleasant surprises.

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