88th Academy Award Predictions

So its November, which means it is time for my very first Academy Award predictions. I know that many people think that film awards are not a true reflection of excellence in the film industry, but that very negative view distracts from the fact that we all know that film awards don’t always show the best, and very rarely do my favorites ever win anything. However, I still follow awards because, well…they’re fun! They’re the closest the cinephile community has to the Superbowl. So please don’t think that my predictions are what I consider to be the best.

The other issue is that without fail, someone will mention to me “how can you predict if you haven’t seen all the films” – well, as time has taught us, seeing the film might be the very best way to determine the quality of a film and the best aspects of it, but it surely is not the only way to predict awards. Reviews, buzz and quite simply the intuition of which films may be in the wheelhouse of the AMPAS. A lot more goes into predicting other than simply seeing the film.

So without any further ado, are are my first official predictions for the 88th Academy Awards. I will just post the list for the main categories, and over the next two months, I will nuance my predictions by giving them individual posts for each major category. Because it is so early, I will list my predictions, but also list two or three alternatives.

Best Picture
Anomalisa
Carol
The Hateful Eight
Joy
Mad Max: Fury Road
Son of Saul
Spotlight
Steve Jobs
The Revenant
Room
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
Brooklyn
The Martian
The Danish Girl

Best Director
Todd Haynes (Carol)
Alejandro González Iñárritu (The Revenant)
Thomas McCarthy (Spotlight)
George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road)
David O. Russell (Joy)
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
Quentin Tarantino (The Hateful Eight)
László Nemes (Son of Saul)
Lenny Abrahamson (Room)

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role
Michael Caine as Fred Ballinger in Youth
Steve Carell as Steve Eisman in The Big Short
Leonardo DiCaprio as Hugh Glass in The Revenant
Michael Fassbender as Steve Jobs in Steve Jobs
Eddie Redmayne as Lili Elbe in The Danish Girl
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
Géza Röhrig as Saul in Son of Saul
Matt Damon as Mark Watley in The Martian
Will Smith as Dr. Bennett Omalu in Concussion

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role
Cate Blanchett as Carol Aird in Carol
Brie Larson as Joy Newsome in Room
Jennifer Lawrence as Joy Mangano in Joy
Charlotte Rampling as Kate Mercer in 45 Years
Saoirse Ronan as Eilis Lacey in Brooklyn
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
Lily Tomlin as Elle Reid in Grandma
Maggie Smith as Mary Shepherd in The Lady in the Van
Carey Mulligan as Maud Watts in Suffragette

Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role
Paul Dano as Brian Wilson in Love & Mercy
Robert De Niro as Rudy Mangano in Joy
Michael Keaton as Walter Robinson in Spotlight
Mark Ruffalo as Michael Rezendes in Spotlight
Mark Rylance as Rudolf Abel in Bridge of Spies
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
Jacob Tremblay as Jack Newsome in Room
Tom Hardy as John Fitzgerald in The Revenant
Benicio Del Toro as Alejandro Gillick in Sicario

Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role
Jennifer Jason Leigh as Daisy Domergue in The Hateful Eight
Rooney Mara as Therese Belivet in Carol
Isabella Rosselini as Viv in Joy
Alicia Vikander as Gerda Wegener in The Danish Girl
Kate Winslet as Joanna Hoffman in Steve Jobs
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
Joan Allen as Nancy Newsome in Room
Julie Walters as Madge Kehoe in Brooklyn
Jane Fonda as Brenda Morel in Youth

Best Original Screenplay
The Hateful Eight
Joy
Son of Saul
Spotlight
Inside Out
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
Trainwreck
Youth
Suffragette

Best Adapted Screenplay
Anomalisa
Carol
Steve Jobs
The Revenant
Room
– – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – –
The Martian
The Danish Girl
Beasts of No Nation

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